15th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BURGESS Beckham 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
2 HARE John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
3 AN Damon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
3 FERNANDEZ Juan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 19%
5 XU Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
6 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
7 WANG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 8%
8 LISSO Ria A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
9 CERDA Giovanni 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23%
10 KURILO Michael 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5%
11 BIALIK Noah 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 8% -
12 EDWARDS Farren 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 6% -
13 HAYES David 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
14 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28% 3%
15 CALLAHAN Arrow 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
16 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
17 SHIH Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
18 RIETZ Cairan 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
19 JAYARAM Archita 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1%
20 YANG Jenny J. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
21 LORENZINI Samuel 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
22 RODRIGUEZ Jason 100% 99% 85% 46% 9% - -
23 VU Mark 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
24 WATKINS James 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
25 OH Seonghun 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
26 GONZALEZ Jerry 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
26 LIU Kyle 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
28 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 100% 90% 46% 10% 1% -
29 SWETT Isaac B. 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1%
30 PIRRO Anton 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
31 MARTIN Evangeline 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
32 MACKEY Ibrahim 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
33 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
34 LINDSAY Mirah 100% 92% 58% 18% 3% - -
35 JONES Declan 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
36 WILCOX Hayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
37 HUGHES Eric 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
38 FARAHMAND Shaya 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 1% -
39 HUGHEY Emma 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
40 MCCONNELL Aidan 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3% -
41 HUSSEY-LOVATT Asa 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
41 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
43 KATZE Ashley 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
44 TAOUIL Sarrah 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
45 RIDLEY Mary Emma 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
46 HERNANDEZ Luis 100% 85% 25% 3% - - -
46 HUGHEY Titus 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
48 MOON Joseph 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.