Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 2, 2019 at 1:00 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
2 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
5 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
5 BECKER Matheus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
7 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
8 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
9 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
10 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
11 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
12 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
12 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
14 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
15 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
16 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 29% 4%
17 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
17 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
19 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
20 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
21 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
22 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
23 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
24 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
25 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
26 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 13%
27 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
28 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
29 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
30 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
31 YOU Jaden 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
32 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
33 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
34 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 3%
35 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
36 ZHOU Brian 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
37 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
38 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
39 DU Gavin J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
40 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
41 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
42 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
43 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
44 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
45 YANG Richard 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
46 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
48 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
49 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
50 RODE Leon J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
51 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
52 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
53 HUCHWAJDA Marcel 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
54 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
55 LEE Aydan J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
56 KIM Jeremy Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
57 LU Caleb Q. 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
58 CHON Taylor A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
59 MOOREHEAD Patrick 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
60 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
61 DEISBOECK Maximilian S. 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
62 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
63 LU Timothy 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
64 FOWLER Luke 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
65 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
66 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
67 GRASS James D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
68 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
69 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
70 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
71 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
72 LI Minghan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
73 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
74 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4%
75 HONG Steven 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
76 SHTEYN Mark 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
77 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
78 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
79 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
80 ZENG Noah 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
81 LEONARD Charles 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
82 COX Luis E. 100% 98% 73% 30% 5% -
84 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
85 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
86 REN Richard 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
87 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
88 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
89 CHAN Alexander S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
89 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
91 WANG Charles 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
92 BURNS Jackson P. 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
92 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
94 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
95 YEE Evan J. 100% 98% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
96 WANG Andy 100% 98% 66% 21% 3% - -
97 SUN Hanyang 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
98 CONINE Tanner C. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
99 FENG Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
100 DA GRACA Aidan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
101 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 5%
102 CHIEN Winston L. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
103 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
104 CHAN Aidan 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
105 BLECKNER Noah 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
106 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
107 WANG Nicolas 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
108 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 96% 59% 20% 4% - -
109 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
110 BELEV Nicholas 100% 36% 6% - - - -
111 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
112 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
112 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
112 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
115 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
116 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 94% 59% 20% 4% - -
116 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
118 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
119 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
119 KILGALLEN William 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
121 YANG Duncan 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
122 WELLS Griffin 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
122 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
124 NOBLE Colin 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
126 MADDALONE Thomas 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
127 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
128 ETIN Ari 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
129 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
130 REN James 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
131 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 84% 44% 9% 1%
132 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
133 PILLAI Jay K. 100% 96% 47% 12% 1% - -
134 TRAN Tripp L. 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
135 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
136 LEMPERT Adam 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
137 HOLDEN Joseph 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
138 HEANEY Sam 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
139 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
140 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
141 SHEN Christopher 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
142 BAE Jason I. 100% 90% 55% 17% 3% - -
143 LEE Derek J. 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
144 HUANG Connor 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
145 DOLSKI Jack 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
146 FORT David 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
147 YU Thomas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
149 OH Triton 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -
150 WANG Robert 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
150 FUHRIG Max 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
152 QI Eric K. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
153 BOWMAN James 100% 23% 2% - - - -
154 WU Richard 100% 75% 25% 4% - - -
155 NAZAROV Adilzhan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
156 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
157 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% - -
157 SUN Ziyao 100% 99% 85% 36% 6% - -
159 BAERMAN Michael 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% -
160 BONSELL Vance 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
161 CANNON Logan T. 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
163 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12% 1%
165 MIDLA Joshua D. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
167 STAM August M. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
168 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
169 KALESKAS James 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
170 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
170 PERRON Robert 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
170 CHEN Jia Tao 100% 22% 2% - - - -
173 GREENBAUM Max B. 100% 30% 3% - - -
174 BEAUCHAMP Declan 100% 82% 38% 7% 1% -
175 DAKIN Joseph 100% 83% 44% 11% 1% - -
176 MERKLE Evan 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
177 JOSEF Asher 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
178 ZHANG Derek 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.