National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | THORNTON Ronald J. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 2 | PHILLIPS Kim V. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 3 | KOPYLOV Dmitri | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 3 | DASHNAW Stephen | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 5 | BADGER Carlton (Carl) M. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 6 | MALNATI Donald H. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 7 | DVORIN Alexander | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 8 | MATT Chris | V V V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 9 | BAKER Keith L. | V V V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 10 | ZIPPER Michael E. | V V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 11 | PARAGANO Vincent | V D V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 12 | PENTON Robert | V V V D D | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 13 | GUTMAN Garik | D D V V V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 14 | HONE Marc | V D V V D | V D | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 15 | LILLARD Samuel N. | D D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 16 | HECK Steven D. | V D V D V D | V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 17 | NEMAZIE David A. | V V D D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 18 | DAHL Chris | D V V V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 19 | DOBBINS James W. | D V V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 20 | SRERE Mark A. | D V D V V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 21 | BROWN Richard | D V D D V | D | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| 22 | GRAFF Jon | D D D V V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 23 | ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. | V D D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 24 | KEEFER Philip E. | D D D V V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 25 | TRESTMAN Robert (Bob) L. | V D D D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 26 | TURNOF Aaron | D D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 27 | MCLAUGHLIN Joseph R. | D V V D D D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 28 | BUKOWSKI Todd | D V D D D V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 29 | ALCEBAR Romie | V D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 30 | SHORT Skip | D D D D D V | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 31 | AHN Sung-Ho | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 32 | GLASSER Jerome | D D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 33 | HUANG Erich | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 35 | LAUZON Thomas (Tom) A. | D D D V D D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 36 | DANIELL Steven J. | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 37 | KIRKELL Brian | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 38 | DIGENNARO John | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.