George Mason University Patriot Open 2025

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 9:00 AM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
2 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
3 CRAYTON Royce S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
5 STRADOMSKYI Klim 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
6 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
7 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
8 TSENG Lucas 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 2% -
9 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
10 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
11 FADL Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
12 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 10%
13 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
14 SHEA William 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
15 SINGH Meet 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
16 WU Lorena 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
17 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
18 VOORHEES Owen 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
19 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
20 PISTONE Leah 100% 99% 83% 38% 8% 1% -
21 CROWE Nathan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
22 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
23 DAVIS Connor 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
24 RUSANOV Oleg 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
25 WU Geoffrey 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
26 NOVOTNY Felicia A. 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
27 KONTANIS Linus 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
28 CROWE Talia 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
29 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
30 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
31 HAVERSON Rana 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% - -
32 FUNK Ethan 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
33 ECK Nathaniel 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
34 RAMBHARAT Kheamraj 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
35 LUCES Nicholas 100% 98% 88% 60% 28% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.