Event Results
UCSB's Ole! OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCMAHON Chris | V V V V V V V V V | V V V | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| 2 | BALBUS Glenn H. | V V V V V V V V D | V V D | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| 3 | INNES-GOLD Sarah | D V V V D V D V V | V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 3 | WILDERINK Christopher | V D D V V D V V V | V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 5 | LIN Jason J. | V V D D V V D V D | D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 6 | MARQUEZ Jeremy | D D D D V D V D V | D | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| 7 | HASHEMIZAD Amir | D V D V D V D D D | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 8 | VANDINH Quan | D V D D D D V D D | V D | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| 9 | MCCLAIN Allison | D D V V D D D D V | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 10 | SMITH Kahlo | D D D D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |