TMFC Youth Saber Cup (Manhattan) #4

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 6:30 PM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - Manhattan - Manhattan-West, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAI Zihou 100% 98% 82% 36%
2 MELE Gianni 100% 98% 82% 39% 5%
3 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
3 JAIN Karanvir 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% < 1%
5 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
6 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
7 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
8 MENCIN Thomas 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
9 KIM Isabel 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
10 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 68% 20% 2% -
11 WILLIAMSON Beckett 100% 96% 52% 7%
12 YARN Hal 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
13 ALQALLAF Meqdad 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
14 STERIAN Riley 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
15 LEE Jiyoung 100% 55% 12% 1%
16 KIM Richard 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
17 KANA Aria 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
18 INSLEY-PRUITT Oliver 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
20 EJIOGU Adaugo 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
21 BROCHARD Virginie 100% 99% 78% 33% 4%
22 GREENBERG Isabella 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
23 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
24 SPILKA Linda G 100% 96% 69% 26% 4%
25 LEON Malolae 100% 90% 55% 15%
26 MCMAHAN Kelly 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% -
26 CURRY Connor 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
28 WEINBERGER Timothy 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.