NYFA Youth Cup #5

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 12:30 PM

NYFA Brooklyn - Brooklyn, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WU Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
2 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
3 TANG Colin 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
5 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
6 CHIANG William 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
7 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
8 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
9 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
10 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 5%
11 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
12 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
13 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
14 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
15 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
16 KIM Abigail 100% 83% 43% 12% 1%
17 FANG Charlie 100% 98% 82% 46% 12%
18 YANG Julian 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
19 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 4%
20 SIU Mila 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
21 KIM Charlotte 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
22 KHOLODNYAK Erik 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
23 JIANG Aidan 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
24 GOOD Adam 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
25 KESELMAN Ron 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
26 IMBERG Matthew 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
27 GURTIN Aleksandra 100% 43% 7% - - -
28 NIKOLLA Vivienne 100% 79% 36% 8% 1%
29 QURESHI Adam 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
30 YU George 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
31 CHOI Elina 100% 60% 13% 1% - -
32 XIE Vasco 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
33 BUTLER Elliot 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
34 TANG Jayce 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
35 DUNCAN Kate 100% 99% 75% 30% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.