Connecticut Division Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
2 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
3 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 50% 15% 2%
4 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
5 GECKELER James 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
6 LOZADA Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
7 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
8 FROST Chayse 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
9 HOWARD Fox 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
10 AMEND Jake 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
11 JEFF Ariff 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
12 ARENBERG Owen 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
13 BRAWN Gavin 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
14 REITH Nathan 100% 62% 20% 4% - -
15 LEWIS Lochlan 100% 98% 79% 32% 6% -
16 ARSHAD Mohsin 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
17 JOHNSON Matthew 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 1%
18 ALVARAN Sam 100% 98% 76% 35% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.