Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOU Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
2 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
3 XU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 FOMINA Polina 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
5 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 MONITTO Malina 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
7 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
8 GARCIA Aly 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
9 MEMON Insha 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
10 CHEN Ava 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
11 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
12 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
13 LIN Cynthia 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
14 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
15 NING Miranda 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
16 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
17 BARDIN Kira 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
18 SUNMAN Rory 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
19 QUADRI Saira 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
20 YOUN Emily 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
21 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
22 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
23 JU Jennifer 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
24 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
25 SHIN Jamie 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
26 COMBS Hannah 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
27 GULER Zeynep 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.