Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WICKA Clayton | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | NI Aaric | V D D V V | V V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | OWENS Carrie M. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 3 | PECKENS Tyler | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 5 | GIBSON Ammon | V V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 6 | BILLIET Greyson | V V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 7 | LAWRENCE Owen | V D V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 8 | KELBLEY Newt J. | V V D V D | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 9 | TAGORE Reyansh | D V V V V | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 10 | XIONG Isabel | D V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 11 | BASS Evan | V V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 12 | SOMERLOTT Logan | V V V D D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 13 | FOLIO Isabella | D V V D V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 14 | OXIE Matthew | D V V D V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 15 | SMITH Boris | V V V D D | V D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| 16 | ADAMISIN Brayden | D D V D V | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 17 | NACLERIO Umberto Francesco | V V D V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 18 | PERRIN Emma | V D D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 19 | SOMERFORD Alex | V D D D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 20 | SCHMUDE Connor | V V D D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 21 | VANDEVEN Ingrid | D D D D V | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 22 | RAMOS-VERSESCU Alicia | D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 23 | PALACEK Anna | D D V D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 24 | MORGAN Jacob | D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 25 | MANKEL Kyleigh | D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 26 | FLOYD John | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 27 | NANU Ava | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 28 | PILON Isabella | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 29 | JOLIVET Samantha | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 29 | HILYARD Evelyn | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.