Ataba Fencing Club March Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 6%
3 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
3 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
5 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
6 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
7 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
8 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
9 FELICIANO Damien 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 2%
10 ALI Adam 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
11 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
12 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
13 LEISECA Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
14 EVERS Ethan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8% -
15 ALLEN Gregory T. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
16 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 99% 82% 37% 5% - -
17 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
18 SAMUEL Nirmel 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
19 CARTY Brenden 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3% -
20 MCCORD Jack 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
21 DELA CRUZ Noel 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
22 BROCK Joshua 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
23 SAHA Sayan 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
24 BERTRAND Reece 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
25 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
26 KRAJ Pawel 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 8%
27 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
28 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
29 JOYCE Brady 100% 93% 64% 27% 5% - -
30 HART Jenna 100% 56% 10% - - - -
31 HULL Ilsa 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
32 TIERNEY Luke 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
33 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
34 NEGGIE Jsmes 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
35 ALLER Bruce 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.