Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-8 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
3 LEE Gloria 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% -
3 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
5 HARSAR Cleo 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
6 LEE Lauren 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1% -
7 MU Jasmine 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
8 MORSTEIN Mira 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 36%
9 SHI Cathy 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
10 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 27%
11 YU Catherine 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
12 GAI Stephanie 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
13 GUERRERO Isabela 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
14 KIM Eila 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
15 ASONI Valentina 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
16 ZUO Melody 100% 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
17 ZHAO Gabriella 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
18 PENG Charlotte 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
19 CHENG Liliana 100% 92% 56% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.