Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MALUKI Nia - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
2 MACHIRAJU Ishita - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
3 RADELL Zoe 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
3 HU Emily - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
5 VARAH Alaia - - 1% 7% 29% 45% 19%
6 KWAN Kelly 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% < 1%
7 KABILING Anika Von Marie - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
8 LIANG Katherine - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
9 ONG Katherine - 3% 20% 42% 28% 7% 1%
10 KONDE Anika - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
11 LI Gloria 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
12 ATA Emily 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
13 CHANG Grace - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
14 JIN Eileen 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
15 ALLENBACH Madeline 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
16 ALPEROVICH Madeline - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
17 ARANGO Ivanna 1% 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
18 SARBU Esme 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
19 CHANG Eleanor - - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
20 VU Claire - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
21 PRAKASH Lithika 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
22 YAO Elizabeth 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
23 HOWELL Vivienne - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
24 GRAHAM Dolly - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
25 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
26 D'AMELJ Ludovica 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
27 RAZIANO Collins 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
28 JEON Karis 20% 37% 29% 11% 3% - -
29 RAZIANO Wallis 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
30 ZHANG Elyna 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
31 CHUNG Jacqueline 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
31 LIN Martina 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
33 RYOU Jane 30% 51% 17% 2% - - -
34 GUREVICH Isabella 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.