The Portland ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 KALKINA Yelena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
3 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
5 MATSUO Kei 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
6 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
7 TENG Christine Renmei 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
8 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 1%
9 REAVIS Isabel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
10 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
11 IREGUI Sofia 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
12 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
13 KAZA Ananya 100% 86% 40% 8% 1% -
14 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 100% 93% 63% 20% -
15 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
16 WILLEMSE Jamie 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
17 TANG Wing Ka Ariana 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
18 ERPELDING Emily 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
19 YANG Caroline 100% 97% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
19 HUANG Wanyi 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
21 ZUG Kiersten A. 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
22 ZHAO Jing 100% 99% 83% 42% 8% -
23 YOO Audrey 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
24 STONE Coral 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
25 RAMAN Indira 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
26 CHAUDHURI Urvashi 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
27 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 99% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
28 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 44% 7% 1% - -
29 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
30 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
31 INSALACO Margo 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
32 KAZA Aditi 100% 20% 2% - - - -
33 OOI Ming Qin 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.