Auburn Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 9:45 AM

Auburn University Recreation and Wellness Center - Auburn, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
2 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
3 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
5 OLSON Clayton 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
6 CALINSKY Edward 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
7 PARCELEWICZ John 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
8 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
9 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
10 DUNKLIN Devon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
11 KNOX Aidan 100% 99% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
12 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
13 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
14 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 98% 71% 26% 5% - -
15 VALENZUELA Elijah 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
16 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
17 SCHMITKONS Kurt 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
18 MEILAN William 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
19 CORDLE Cole 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
20 POWERS Robert 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
21 JERNIGAN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
22 WERTH Mario 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
23 HUNTER James 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
24 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 98% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
25 WILLIAMS Joe 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
26 EDWARDS John 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
27 BELL Leo 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
28 WASH James 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
29 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 93% 34% 6% - - -
30 CONCANNON Evelyn 100% 76% 7% - - - -
31 MANNING Jackson 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
32 VON KLAR Rhiannon 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
33 LE BLANC Anna 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
34 UNNOPPET Fin 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.