Auburn Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 2:15 PM

Auburn University Recreation and Wellness Center - Auburn, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLSON Clayton 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
2 SUTTON Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 KERTESZ Stefan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 16%
3 DUNKLIN Devon 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
5 POWERS Robert 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
6 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5% < 1%
7 WERTH Mario 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
8 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
9 WYNN Paul 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
10 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 60% 19% 4% - - -
11 CORDLE Cole 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
12 MEILAN William 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
13 MANNING Jackson 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
14 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
15 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
16 RETZER Phillip 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
17 EDWARDS John 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
18 HARRIS Brendan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
19 LE BLANC Anna 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4% -
20 WASH James 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
21 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
22 HUNTER James 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
23 VON KLAR Rhiannon 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
24 WILLIAMS Joe 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
25 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
25 JERNIGAN Jacob 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
27 CONCANNON Evelyn 100% 50% 10% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.