The Early-Spring Melee

Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Memphis University School - Memphis, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 100% 50% 12% 1% -
2 JOHNSON Soren 100% 98% 77% 6% < 1%
3 WEBB Jacob 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
3 LIU oscar 100% 97% 74% 26% 2%
5 PATEL Kushal 100% 100% 100% 90% 15%
6 KNICK Canyon 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
7 PHAN Katie 100% 51% 12% 1% -
8 CHAMBERS Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 48% 8%
9 TORRES Jordan 100% 97% 75% 35% 6%
9 HANSON Lucian 100% 84% 14% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.