The Early-Spring Melee

Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Memphis University School - Memphis, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PATEL Kushal - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
2 KRAFFT Douglas - 4% 31% 65%
3 JOHNSON Soren 3% 21% 43% 30% 4%
3 ORLANDO Briceno - - 5% 29% 66%
5 MOORE Alexander - 11% 36% 36% 14% 2%
6 LIU Yunhao 9% 40% 36% 13% 2% -
7 WEBB Jacob 6% 33% 50% 11%
8 RAY William - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
9 FERRER Kenyn Missing ID
10 LIU oscar 48% 41% 11% 1%
11 DONG Joshua 6% 32% 42% 18% 2%
12 KAHR Edward 7% 31% 41% 18% 1%
13 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 17% 59% 23% 2%
14 BRATTON Christopher 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
15 DAS Kushal 42% 42% 14% 2% -
16 KOEHLER Kaitlan 38% 43% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.