Meade Hansford Anderson Memorial RYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Kinecta Soccer Center - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	JIANG Evelyn	-	-	-	-	1%	19%	80%
2	CHEN Cindy	-	-	-	4%	20%	45%	31%
3	BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol	-	-	1%	6%	26%	45%	23%
3	KIM Saeren	-	-	-	1%	11%	40%	47%
5	CHENG Anna	-	-	3%	16%	37%	35%	9%
6	RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla	-	1%	7%	29%	47%	17%
7	HWANG Sophie	-	-	1%	11%	41%	47%
8	PARK Chloe	-	-	4%	18%	43%	34%
9	CHENG Zijuan "Grace"	-	2%	10%	31%	41%	16%
10	CAO Kim	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	19%	1%
11	LI Cici	-	2%	12%	32%	37%	16%	2%
12	SUTHERLAND Sadie	4%	19%	36%	30%	10%	1%	-
13	NGUYEN Summer	-	-	5%	22%	42%	28%	3%
14	DENG Oscar	6%	25%	37%	25%	7%	1%
15	SHI Maxine	-	1%	8%	26%	40%	22%	4%
16	BAEK Aileen	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
17	WANG Makayla	-	10%	36%	39%	13%	1%
18	VIGNEUX Nolwenn	3%	20%	39%	29%	9%	1%	-
19	JOHNSTON Sabrina	8%	29%	37%	20%	5%	1%	-
20	XU Ella	1%	7%	25%	38%	24%	6%	-
21	GUERVILLE Angelique	1%	14%	40%	35%	10%	1%
22	NARRELL Olive	14%	36%	34%	14%	2%	-
23	LIU Anya	16%	41%	31%	10%	1%	-	-
24	FISCHER Luna	7%	29%	38%	21%	5%	-	-
25	SONG Phoebe	6%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%
26	ZHANG Cecilia	7%	40%	38%	13%	2%	-
27	TRAN Esme	6%	24%	37%	25%	7%	1%	-
28	WU Melody	13%	37%	34%	13%	2%	-	-
29	WOO Ava	1%	7%	25%	38%	23%	5%	-
30	AHMED Jennah	32%	44%	20%	4%	-	-	-
31	FANG Kaitlyn	72%	26%	3%	-	-	-
32	LIU Kaylee	21%	40%	29%	9%	1%	-	-
33	FANG Lauren	24%	43%	26%	7%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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