Swarthmore College Phoenix Cup C & Under

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:45 AM

Lamb-Miller Fieldhouse - Swarthmore, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
2 LARGAESPADA Luis V. 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 4%
3 FLYNN Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
3 SOBON JAson 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
5 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
6 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
7 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
8 TURNER Stephanie 100% 100% 98% 81% 34% 6% -
9 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28% 1%
10 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
11 ROJAS Elijah 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
12 PRUDE Liam 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
13 GODIN Willis 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
14 STRAYER Cody 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 5%
15 SMITH Clara 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
16 KOVACS Harrison 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 2%
17 TORTORELLO Bea 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
18 MITRA Anjali 100% 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
19 YOCHUM Theodore 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
20 STENSON Alyssa 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
21 GORDON Hannah 100% 79% 29% 5% - - -
22 LEE Ethan 100% 99% 91% 59% 21% 3%
23 ZHAO Rui 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
24 KUSHNER Cayla 100% 92% 58% 15% 2% -
25 OBERDIEK Lucas 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
26 RIVERA Ernest 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
27 LEE William 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
28 SPECTER Luka 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
29 WANG Katherine 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
30 YOUNG Kathryn 100% 99% 83% 40% 6% - -
31 HUTCHINSON Rex 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
32 CURRAN Ella 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.