Swarthmore College Phoenix Cup C & Under

Div II Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 1:45 PM

Lamb-Miller Fieldhouse - Swarthmore, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 30%
2 KOLODNER Michael B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
3 BLALIK Noah 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 13% -
3 PATEL Deep 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
5 JIANG Terence 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% < 1%
6 KOENIGSBERG Jared 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% 1%
7 MITCHELL Eric A. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
8 IDAHOR Osaretin 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
9 CHUNG Sienna 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
10 YANG Byron 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
11 HOAGLAND Simone 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
12 MCKIBBIN Finnegan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
13 DUNN John (Jack) F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 1%
14 OSBALDESTON Rebecca 100% 95% 74% 42% 15% 3% -
15 WOOD Carter 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
16 MITCHELL Matthew D. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
17 KIM Oliver 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
18 JONES Jaden 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
19 LE Van 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
20 SAKAZAKI Ryotaro 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
21 CAMPBELL Gregory 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
22 SHELTON Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 16% 1%
23 RANKA Avani 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
24 MOO Kaw 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
25 MARTINEZ Jenna 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
26 YOUNG Kathryn 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
27 NEPOMUCENO Elijah 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.