Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | BEAL Colton | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 2 | OSMINKINA-JONES Kai | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 3 | ISAYENKO Daniel | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 3 | ALUF Brendon | V V V V V D | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 5 | ALUF William | V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 6 | STOLCKE Julian | V V V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 7 | HAHN Ever | D V D V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 8 | ARCHIBALD Zachary | V D V D V V | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 9 | MOGUNOV Alan | V D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | HU Simon | V V V D V V | V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 11 | WILSON Hunter | V V D V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 12 | IP Hunter | V V V D V D | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 13 | SONG Ryan | V V V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 14 | SADARANGANI Saisha | D V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 15 | BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso | V V D V D D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 16 | MERZLYAKOV Vladimir | D D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 17 | LAMTAN Trinity | D V V V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 18 | MUSA Roman | D D V V D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 19 | MITCHELL Lorne | V D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 20 | BARAKH Adam | D D V V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 21 | KRISHNARASA Aiyann | V V D D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 22 | WONG Jacob | D D D V D V | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 23 | DOWNEY Jaxon | V V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 24 | BELANI Rahul | D V V D D D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 25 | KIM Colin | D D V D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 26 | WIJE Mahamaya | D D D D V D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 27 | HONG Isaac | D D D D D V | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 28 | CHOI Ethan | D D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 29 | KIM Apollo | D D V D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 30 | YUN Matthew | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 31 | ABADIR james | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 32 | MCGUIRE Declan | D D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 33 | HUANG Nicholas | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.