Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
5 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
6 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 4%
7 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
8 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
9 HUANG Yuwen 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
10 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
11 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 95% 66% 24% 3%
12 CAO Kayla 100% 96% 77% 39% 11% 1%
13 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 5%
14 DONG Angela 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
15 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 1%
16 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
17 DONG Emily 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
18 SONG Jenna 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
19 OWENS Elise 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
20 SONG Erin 100% 97% 59% 17% 2% -
21 PINEDA jade luna 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 5%
21 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 1%
23 JIANG Chloe 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
24 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 100% 84% 43% 10% 1%
25 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 93% 60% 20% 2%
26 LEE Allison 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% -
27 MEITZEN Havah 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
29 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 86% 38% 8% 1% -
30 KATS Ekaterina 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
31 SELSER Ella 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% -
32 BALIN Julia 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
33 WU Lorena 100% 72% 20% 2% - -
34 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
35 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 12% - - - -
36 ROTHMAN Rebecca 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
37 WANG hannah 100% 39% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.