The Portland ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
3 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
5 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 25%
7 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 5%
8 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
9 CHONG Tristan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
10 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 31% 4%
11 LIU William 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
12 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
13 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 3%
14 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% -
15 LI Samuel 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
16 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
17 MCKEE Calvin 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
18 TALASILA Arush 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
19 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 97% 69% 25% 3%
20 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
21 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
22 NEICE William 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
23 MCINTOSH Caleb D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
24 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
25 KIM Teo 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% - -
26 LI Richard 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
27 HARROCH Faustin 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
28 CRAIG Whitman 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
29 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 5%
30 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% - -
31 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 92% 49% 8% - - -
32 SU Preston 100% 90% 46% 6% - - -
33 ZHOU Ryan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
34 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
34 SU Desmond 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
36 MEEHAN Justin X. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
37 HARRIS Julien 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
38 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
39 VAN Tyson 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
40 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
41 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
42 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
43 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 85% 19% 2% - - -
44 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
45 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
46 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 40% 6% - - - -
47 NICHOLSON John 100% 22% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.