The Portland ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
2 KIM Teo 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
3 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5%
3 LI Timothy 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% < 1%
5 COHEN Joshua 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
6 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% -
7 WAI Andreas 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
8 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
9 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4%
10 OLSON Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
11 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
12 JAN Timothy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
13 MCLAREN Mason 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
14 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
15 HANNON Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
16 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 REED David 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
18 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
19 BACON Corban 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
20 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
21 CRAIG Whitman 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
22 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
23 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
24 BIRK Francisco 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% - -
25 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.