Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-8 Men's Saber

Friday, March 28, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Nathan 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 1% -
2 QIAO Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
3 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
3 CHANG Jarrett 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
5 HAO Jefferson 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% < 1%
6 LEE Caleb 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
7 YAN Kaysen 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
8 LI Lucas 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
9 GHATTAS August 100% 100% 92% 61% 19% 1%
10 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
11 LEUNG Ian 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
12 TAM Ethan 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
13 WANG Jayden 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
14 FERNANDEZ leo 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
15 XIA Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 7%
16 CHENG Daniel 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
17 ZHANG Jiahang 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
18 PAULISHAK George 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
19 GOURJI Roman 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
20 QIU Carson 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.