Manchen Friday Night "C & Under" Foil

Div II Mixed Foil

Friday, March 28, 2025 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 OLSON Stephen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 LEONG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
3 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16% 2%
5 SOBON Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
6 MURPHY Damian 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
7 O'LEARY Colin 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
8 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 5% -
9 KOVACS Harrison 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
10 D'ALONZO Jake 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
11 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 7%
12 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
13 KRECKE Gareth 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
14 BELOKON Sammy 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
15 THOMAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
16 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
17 LIANG Haojia 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
18 THOPPAY Pradnesh 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
19 ESPINAL Ryan 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
20 BERG Samara 100% 61% 18% 3% - - - -
21 PRICE Ezra 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - - -
22 TAN Allen 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - - -
23 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.