Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
2 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
3 CHEN Kyle 100% 100% 97% 74% 33% 6%
3 LALONDE Oscar 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
5 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
6 PARK Nathan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
7 CHEN Evan 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 HUANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
9 PALMERKLEIN Justin 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
10 GULLAPALLI Shrihaan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
11 KANAN Noland 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
12 KOSGI Kartik 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
13 TANG Ethan 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
14 KANG Marcus 100% 75% 24% 4% - -
15 RANDALL Graham 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
16 LINEBERRY KAI 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
17 ZHANG Devon 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
18 ZMUDA Brady 100% 51% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.