Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JACHYMIAK Emilia - - 1% 6% 18% 32% 31% 12%
2 NARUT Zoe 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1% -
3 VARELA Lara 1% 6% 19% 31% 27% 13% 3% -
3 FINN Lucy 1% 5% 18% 30% 28% 14% 4% -
5 DEATON Lily - - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
6 VARELA Serena 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - - -
7 SOBERY Lillian 2% 12% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1% -
8 HUANG Qixi - 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.