Wang Memorial ROC/RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Dallas Market Center MAIN HALL - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LIN Nicole	-	-	-	-	2%	21%	78%
2	XIAO Cindy	-	-	4%	22%	47%	27%
3	LUKER Hannah	-	-	4%	20%	46%	30%
3	CHERON Helene	-	6%	26%	40%	23%	5%
5	KIM Karen	-	-	5%	22%	44%	28%
6	WITEK Isabelle	1%	8%	29%	38%	20%	4%	-
7	ZHU Avril	-	3%	15%	34%	35%	14%
8	YOO Audrey	5%	24%	38%	26%	7%	1%
9	SUNG Olivia	-	1%	6%	25%	44%	24%
10	MOON Claire	-	9%	30%	38%	20%	3%
11	KANG Soeun	-	1%	8%	27%	39%	22%	4%
12	REAVIS Isabel	-	-	2%	15%	42%	36%	4%
13	ZHENG Valentina	-	-	-	2%	13%	40%	45%
14	XU Kaylyn	-	1%	6%	25%	44%	23%	2%
15	NGUYEN Madeleine	1%	8%	28%	37%	22%	5%
16	CHERUKURI Tanvi	12%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-
17	LU QIWEN	1%	11%	34%	37%	14%	2%	-
18	JOSHI Samika	1%	7%	28%	42%	19%	3%
19	YE Madeleine	-	-	4%	19%	39%	32%	7%
20	HUANG Valencia	1%	7%	27%	38%	22%	5%	-
21	GILLENTINE Madelyn	50%	39%	9%	1%	-	-
22	OLSON Olivia	14%	40%	34%	11%	1%	-
23	EDELBROCK Kate	24%	47%	24%	5%	-	-	-
24	OEI Allyson	3%	20%	40%	29%	8%	1%	-
25	OH Chloe	17%	39%	32%	11%	2%	-
26	HAM Elizabeth	11%	36%	37%	14%	2%	-
27	SAMPATH Medha	5%	23%	38%	27%	7%	1%
28	JUDE Simona	8%	35%	38%	16%	3%	-	-
29	GODFREY Crystal	24%	44%	26%	6%	1%	-
30	GUENDULAY Hallise	50%	39%	10%	1%	-	-	-
31	FOISSET Camille	37%	45%	16%	2%	-	-	-
32	LEAL Annabeth	2%	16%	37%	33%	11%	1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.