Wang Memorial ROC/RYC/RJCC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Dallas Market Center MAIN HALL - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KIM Karen	-	-	1%	10%	31%	41%	17%
2	VASYAKIN Liana	-	-	-	3%	18%	43%	35%
3	LUKER Hannah	-	4%	20%	37%	30%	9%
3	CHERON Helene	-	3%	15%	31%	32%	16%	3%
5	XIAO Cindy	-	-	1%	8%	24%	40%	27%
6	KWON Hannah	-	2%	14%	37%	37%	10%
7	WONG Charlene	1%	10%	33%	38%	16%	2%
8	ZHAN Sophie	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	12%
9	KOSZYK Agnieszka	-	-	1%	11%	40%	47%
10	WITEK Isabelle	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	< 1%	-
11	MOON Claire	-	12%	34%	35%	16%	3%
12	MUELLER Amelia D.	-	-	-	4%	21%	44%	31%
13	XU Kaylyn	-	1%	5%	21%	41%	27%	6%
14	SCHOON REBECCA	-	16%	37%	32%	12%	2%
15	LU QIWEN	4%	19%	34%	29%	13%	3%	-
16	NGUYEN Madeleine	1%	12%	36%	36%	13%	1%
17	YE Madeleine	-	5%	19%	33%	29%	12%	2%
18	ZHENG Valentina	-	-	3%	16%	37%	34%	9%
19	JUDE Simona	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-	-
20	KIM Grace M.	1%	8%	24%	33%	24%	8%	1%
21	REAVIS Isabel	-	1%	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
22	HUANG Valencia	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%	-
23	CHERUKURI Tanvi	15%	36%	33%	14%	3%	-	-
24	OH Chloe	5%	25%	39%	25%	6%	1%	-
25	SAMPATH Medha	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
26	JEAN Emmanuelle C.	-	3%	18%	36%	32%	10%
27	GILLENTINE Madelyn	62%	32%	5%	-	-	-
28	KANG Soeun	1%	9%	25%	33%	23%	7%	1%
29	YOO Audrey	7%	38%	38%	14%	2%	-
30	FOISSET Camille	93%	7%	-	-	-	-
31	WEBB Maud	3%	16%	34%	33%	13%	2%	-
32	WOLVERTON Emma	18%	39%	30%	10%	2%	-	-
33	BROCKMEYER Kendy	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.