Boston Fencing Club RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	GONG Joy	-	-	3%	20%	45%	32%
2	CHAVAN Arya	-	-	1%	11%	41%	47%
3	FOSS Persephone	-	1%	9%	29%	41%	20%
3	YANNOPOULOS Pompie	-	-	7%	30%	46%	16%
5	KIM Audrey	-	2%	16%	37%	34%	11%
6	AKULA Roszlynn	-	3%	19%	40%	31%	7%
7	JOHNSON Neema	-	-	2%	15%	42%	41%
8	MULLER Inara	-	2%	11%	34%	40%	13%
9	STADNIK Emilia	-	1%	11%	35%	40%	13%
10	MYAT Chloe	-	-	3%	16%	42%	39%
11	LEE Kaitlin	-	4%	19%	39%	30%	7%
12	YERENKOVA Ameliia	2%	14%	35%	35%	13%	2%
13	HILD Anya	4%	22%	39%	27%	7%	1%
14	PALMIERI Giuliana M.	-	5%	25%	39%	25%	5%
15	BARNES Sarah	-	5%	29%	44%	20%	2%
16	WANG JiaQi	-	2%	14%	39%	35%	10%
17	COX Catie	10%	54%	30%	6%	-	-
18	HARRISON Allie	8%	45%	35%	11%	1%	-
19	HAGN Luna	7%	42%	38%	12%	1%	-
20	LEE Grace	-	10%	40%	37%	11%	1%
21	CHURCH Madeline	23%	46%	25%	5%	-	-
22	RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M.	-	4%	23%	39%	27%	7%
23	HO Sophia	2%	16%	39%	32%	10%	1%
24	YOON Sela	4%	26%	40%	23%	5%	-
25	RIFKIN Lielle	2%	22%	45%	26%	5%	-
26	PATEL Sia	71%	26%	3%	-	-	-
27	TRINH Nha-Yen	32%	45%	19%	3%	-	-
28	SWAMINATHAN Keerthi	76%	23%	2%	-	-	-
29	JAJRA Avni	47%	39%	12%	2%	-	-
30	CHOUDHURY Ritisha	70%	26%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.