Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
3 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
5 SHI Boris 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 YOUNG Jack 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
7 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 2%
8 HASTINGS Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
9 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
10 WENGER Liam 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
11 BALES Gabriel 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
12 LI Andy 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
13 XU Rambert 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
14 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
15 DEPP Edward 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
16 FLOOD Moe 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
17 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
18 FEEHAN Conor 100% 92% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
19 MA Gangjin 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
20 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 82% 36% 8% 1% -
21 CRONK Trevor 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
22 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
23 FERGUSON Levi 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
24 YATES Graeme 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
25 FERRARO Vito 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
26 BLACK John 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.