Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WENGER Rowan 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 27%
2 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% -
3 LI Andy 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
3 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
5 HUANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
6 MORALES Tycho 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% -
7 CRONK Trevor 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
8 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
9 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
10 PARK Nathan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
11 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
12 SANGEETHA Sanosh 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
13 CROSSETT Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
14 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
15 PALMERKLEIN Justin 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
16 CHEN Evan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
17 KALINA Levi 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
18 CHEN Kyle 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
19 LINEBERRY KAI 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 2%
20 RILEY Parker 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
21 TANG Ethan 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
22 LALONDE Oscar 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
23 ZHANG Devon 100% 78% 26% 3% - -
24 WANG Justin 100% 100% 87% 42% 5% -
25 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 56% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.