Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Vet-40 Men's Saber

Friday, April 11, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REFAEE Hamdy H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 ZHU Shirui 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
3 GREENE Joseph T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
3 TERENTIEV Max 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
5 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
6 ZIRKLE James 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
7 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 4% -
8 KALLIO Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80% 9%
9 ELBAKRY Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 85%
10 WAXLER Aaron M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
11 WANG Xiaodong 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
12 PLONKA Derek 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 4% -
13 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
14 ZHONG Meng 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
15 MOODY Paul J. 100% 95% 65% 21% 3% - -
16 BAILEY-YAVONDITTE Daniel C. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
17 TSUNG David 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
18 ZONG Yujie 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
19 CHEN Brian 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
20 WANG Albert 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
21 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
22 CHANG William 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
23 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 91% 60% 24% 4% -
24 LOCKWOOD Jereme 100% 82% 38% 7% 1% - -
25 OON Jit Fong 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
26 REYES Elain 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.