The Colonel Melee

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Ledyard High School - Ledyard, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
2 JEFF Ariff 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
3 BUCHAS James 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
4 CHRISTENSEN Nora 100% 99% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
5 ARSHAD Mohsin 100% 96% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
6 PANTHA Priya 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
7 NETTLETON Ava 100% 98% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
8 LEWIS Lochlan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
9 CRUZ Cameron 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
10 PRASAD Mohisha 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
11 ALEXANDERMACKIN Willow 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
12 MULLER Brianna 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
13 DEXTER Zebulon 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
14 LEWIS Todd 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.