USF Green and Gold Cup 2025

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, April 12, 2025 at 3:00 PM

USF Recreation and Wellness Center North Gym - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ABILAY Bryson 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 DENIZE Paul Edmond Alexandre 100% 100% 97% 71% 7%
3 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 27%
5 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
6 VU Mark 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
7 HUANG Anthony 100% 91% 52% 10% -
8 FREEDMAN Alexander 100% 89% 49% 8% -
9 OH Hakjae 100% 100% 99% 90% 48% 8%
10 KAMAL Aidan 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
11 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
12 RIETZ Cairan 100% 91% 59% 20% 2%
13 ELLIS Bremmen 100% 100% 98% 72% 5%
14 CARMODY Carson 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
15 DEGUZMAN Holden 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
16 RIVERA-HERNÁNDEZ Javier 100% 76% 27% 3% -
17 TORO Diego 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
18 OESTE Kevin 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
19 CHEN Kent 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
20 CARVAJAL Julian 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
21 BEAU DE ROCHARS Josh 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
22 ARSENAULT Madeleine 100% 91% 58% 21% 3%
23 ARSENAULT Eve 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
24 TAOUIL Sarrah 100% 74% 23% 2% -
25 HO Ricky 100% 97% 74% 29% 5% -
26 HUYNH Sebastien 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
27 KARP Laurel 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
28 KENDA John 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
29 SAYER Laura 100% 68% 22% 2% -
29 STEPHENSON David 100% 69% 22% 2% -
29 EMMONS Ayden 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
32 OWENS John 100% 98% 82% 47% 13%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.