Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Veteran Men's Saber

Saturday, April 12, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KALLIO Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 ZHU Shirui 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
3 MATT Chris 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 55%
3 BACON Michael F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 29%
5 ESCUETA Jr Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
6 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
7 ZIRKLE James 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
8 BAILEY-YAVONDITTE Daniel C. 100% 89% 53% 15% 1% -
9 CHU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 22%
10 VINTILA Radu 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
11 HERRERA Richard K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 30%
12 CHANG William 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
13 THORNTON Ronald J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
14 PLONKA Derek 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
15 MAKOGON Sergey 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 17%
16 WAXLER Aaron M. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 1%
17 BUSH Joshua C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
17 TERENTIEV Max 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
19 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
20 PHILLIPS Kim V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
21 ZOLLER Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
22 PENTON Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
23 RUNYAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 42%
24 JIANG Edison 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
25 CRETEN joachim 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
26 ZHONG Meng 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
27 WANG Albert 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
28 KRASNICH Mike 100% 99% 85% 43% 8% 1%
29 LILLARD Samuel N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
30 SEGALE William J. 100% 41% 4% - - -
31 PARAGANO Vincent 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
32 STONE Brad 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
33 TSUNG David 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
34 KASTOR Jacaeber 100% 100% 100% 91% 50% 10%
35 LARA Alfred 100% 99% 91% 55% 13% 1%
36 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
37 PARK James 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
38 DASHNAW Stephen 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
39 DHAR asif 100% 88% 46% 11% 1% - -
40 REMETE Tomas 100% 73% 15% 1% - -
41 CHO Yutong 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
42 MCLAUGHLIN Joseph R. 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1%
43 GUEBLE Jeffrey R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
44 FIALKOWSKI Steven P. 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
45 BAKER Keith L. 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2% -
46 ERIKSON Steven 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
47 CHANG Henry 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% - -
48 MIGHELL Jason 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
49 WANG Xiaodong 100% 97% 78% 37% 5% -
50 MOODY Paul J. 100% 91% 55% 15% 1% -
51 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% -
52 MARTINEZ Mario Martinez D. 100% 78% 27% 4% - -
53 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 51% 9% 1% - -
54 HICHA Paul R. 100% 99% 84% 28% 4% -
55 COGAN Derek 100% 95% 66% 24% 3% - -
56 SMITH Dennis 100% 34% 5% - - - -
57 RYBKIN Alexander V. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
58 GOLOVITSER Alex 100% 39% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.