18+ Alumni Memorial Epee Event

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 11:00 AM

IM Sports West - E. Lansing, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 100% 93% 53% 12%
2 LI Peizhen (Daniel) 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
3 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 ARNEMANN Jonas 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 2%
5 BROOKS Zachary B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
6 GOODMAN Jason M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
7 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1%
8 LAPP J P 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
9 WICKA Clayton 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
10 JANYSKA Allen 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
11 KELBLEY Newt J. 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
12 DORFMAN Susannah M. 100% 99% 90% 51% 14% 2% -
13 SMITH Boris 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
14 KENDALL Chris 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
15 LAPP Laurie E. 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
16 UNDERHILL Jeff 100% 98% 78% 27% 3% - -
17 ALSTROM Lillian 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
18 KRAMER Sydney 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
19 PHILLIPSON Jack 100% 44% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.