April Portland RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
2 FERRIS Madeline 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
3 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
5 WANG Tina 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
6 IREGUI Sofia 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
7 INSALACO Margo 100% 88% 50% 14% 2%
8 ERPELDING Emily 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
9 DOLEV Rony 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
10 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
11 FEENER Paige 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
12 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
13 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 100% 61% 18% 3% -
14 YANG Caroline 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
15 RAMAN Indira 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 2%
16 KNULL Emma 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
17 OEI Allyson 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.