American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
2 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 WANG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
5 SAGARDI David 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
6 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 16%
7 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
8 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
9 WU Timothy 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 18% 3%
10 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
11 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
12 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
13 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
14 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 24% 4%
15 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
16 CLARK Aram 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
17 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
18 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
19 KOGAN Nikita 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
20 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
21 GONG Alex 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
22 KITSON Chase 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
23 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
24 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
25 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
26 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
27 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
28 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
29 WONG Caleb W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
30 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
31 AO Christopher 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
32 COPP Max 100% 91% 63% 30% 9% 1% -
33 WANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
34 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
35 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
36 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
37 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
37 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
39 ZHENG Leon 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
40 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
41 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
42 ZHEXUAN yu 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
42 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
44 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
45 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
46 WANG Junyu 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
47 NAJI Ethan 100% 94% 73% 41% 14% 3% -
48 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
49 ZHOU Grant 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
50 LIM Brandon 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
50 HU Harry 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
52 WANG Theodore 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
53 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
54 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
55 ORTHMANN Tristin 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
56 JIANG Terence 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% - -
57 GRIECI Noah 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
58 DAI Zihou 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
59 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
60 ONG Dylan 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% -
61 BERGER Jacob 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
62 CHIEN Nolan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
63 RIDKY Sam 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
64 KIARA Kinoti 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
65 ZHAO Royce 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
66 UEMOTO Ken 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
67 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
68 LUAN Mark 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
69 JAIN Karanvir 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
70 JI Johnson 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
71 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
72 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
73 ANSARI Umayr 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
74 WASCO Andrew 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
75 ZHANG Ray 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
76 CHENG Hong 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
77 LIU Dominic 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
78 BAHK Caleb 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
79 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% - -
80 TSAO Alister 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
81 CHANG Timothy 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
82 LEUNG Arthur 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
82 LIU Eric 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
82 QUAIL Jonathan 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% - -
82 WANG Michael 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8% 1%
86 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
87 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
88 CAMAYA Jordan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
89 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% -
90 EKONG-REID Severian 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
91 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
92 CHANG Leo 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
93 AMAGOWNI Dhruv 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
94 STEWART Samuel 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
95 REILLY Xavier 100% 87% 35% 7% 1% - -
97 GREENE Kevin 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
98 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% - -
99 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 26% 3% - - - -
100 MAN Landen 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
101 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
102 HO Nathaniel 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
103 YANG Byron 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
103 WITHAM Leo 100% 39% 6% - - - -
105 LI Timothy 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
106 BOTERO Sidney 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% - -
106 ZHANG Richard 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
108 DY Azriel 100% 31% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.