On Point Spring Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

CSD YMCA CHARLOTTE - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOU Chanmin 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
2 HARWOOD Gray 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
3 DONG Emily 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 6%
3 SMITH Finnley 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
5 CLARK Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 12%
6 RAMESH prashvin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
7 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
8 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
9 VIVEROS Oscar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
10 MONSCH Channing 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
11 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
12 CANADY Isaac 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
13 THU John 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
14 MONAGHAN Claire (Micah) 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
15 GADOW Patrick 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
16 RILEY Owen 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
17 ZHANG Vicky 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
18 MOBBLEY Michael 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
19 SNYDER Andrew 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
20 CARDINAL Elise 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
21 BAZZLE Christopher E. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
22 GAO Yuan 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
23 BACA GALO Dereck 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
24 SATTERLY Avery 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% - -
25 MARRELLI Carolina 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
26 DELORME Benjamin 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
27 COLLINS Andrew V. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
28 LAZAREANU Justin 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
29 COPE Wilson 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
30 NUNN Declan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
31 PATEL Jay 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
32 JOSEPH Rachel 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
33 LODGE Dagny 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
34 JOHNSON Ethan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.