Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	IYER Neil	-	-	4%	21%	43%	32%
2	GREENSTEIN Viktor	-	-	2%	14%	42%	42%
3	WONG Hawken	-	-	2%	13%	39%	38%	8%
3	HE Zhikai (kyle)	-	-	5%	27%	49%	18%
5	CHEN Jack	-	1%	8%	29%	43%	20%
6	NAIR Sujit	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
7	LEI Peter	-	-	5%	21%	42%	27%	4%
8	YUEN Caleb	1%	9%	29%	38%	20%	3%
9	CAO Donald	-	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	27%
10	KHANNA Adamantis	-	-	-	-	6%	33%	60%
11	KANG Jeremy	-	-	1%	9%	40%	50%
12	BRIMMER Robert (Trey)	-	1%	13%	44%	42%
13	KAYDALIN David	1%	10%	41%	38%	10%
14	KARAVAS Nicholas	-	1%	6%	21%	36%	28%	8%
15	VO Blake	-	4%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%
16	CHEN Shawn	-	1%	10%	32%	42%	15%
17	KANG Matthew	-	-	-	1%	7%	32%	60%
18	ZENG Oscar	1%	11%	32%	37%	16%	2%
19	HRISTOV Nickolas	1%	12%	34%	36%	15%	2%
20	FISCHER Noel	1%	15%	37%	33%	12%	1%
21	ORLINO Sam	39%	48%	12%	1%	-
22	HWANG Hagan	-	1%	6%	25%	44%	26%
23	RAMBHIA Smit	9%	33%	37%	17%	4%	-
24	LEE Kyle	4%	23%	39%	26%	7%	1%	-
25	LEE Brendan	2%	12%	30%	33%	18%	5%	-
26	OLSON Kai	1%	9%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
27	QI Jeremy	1%	9%	24%	34%	24%	7%	1%
28	TANG Morgan	-	5%	32%	46%	16%
30	曾 ZIMO	2%	17%	36%	32%	12%	1%
31	GU Dean	15%	35%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
32	BRADIC Andreja	36%	49%	14%	1%	-
33	AZADPOUR Arvin	2%	10%	27%	34%	21%	6%	-
34	XIE Justin	8%	39%	38%	13%	1%	-
35	LUO Gavin	1%	9%	33%	41%	14%	1%
36	LIU Daniel	1%	5%	19%	33%	29%	12%	1%
37	CHAN Troy Devon	3%	16%	31%	31%	15%	3%	-
38	KIM Leo	39%	42%	16%	3%	-	-
39	HOLMES Xavier	6%	27%	39%	22%	5%	-
40	XIA Daniel	16%	40%	32%	11%	1%	-	-
41	GUVEN Derin	4%	29%	40%	21%	5%	-
42	WU Garrick	19%	40%	30%	9%	1%	-
43	MITCHELL-LU Hiro	3%	23%	43%	26%	5%	-
44	WU Lucas	4%	18%	33%	29%	13%	3%	-
45	MOORE Greyson	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
46	SMITH Etienne	26%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-	-
47	LIN Escher	57%	35%	7%	1%	-	-
48	CAO Chuck	19%	42%	30%	9%	1%	-
49	JOHNSON Jack	63%	31%	5%	-	-	-
50	CHEN Aaron	2%	15%	36%	35%	11%	1%	-
50	JANG Seohyeon	10%	32%	35%	18%	5%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.