Midwest Fencing Conference Championships 2025

Men's Saber

Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Black and Gold Gyms 1 - 3, France A. Córdova Recreational Sports Center - West Lafayette, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
2 WANG William 100% 93% 41% 5%
3 KERTESZ Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
3 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
5 LAI Yat Hay Casper 100% 100% 98% 72%
6 HU CHIEH-CHI 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
7 OWENS Harrison 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 6%
8 CUDZICH Adam 100% 99% 87% 40% 7%
9 YEN Preston 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
10 ZHOU Aeres 100% 100% 95% 66% 18%
11 KESSENS Keith 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
12 GRIFFITH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
13 VILLEGAS Aidan 100% 44% 5% -
14 SANABRIA Enrique 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 11%
15 MORGENSTERN Gabriel 100% 65% 20% 2% - -
16 NIU Shengjun 100% 100% 94% 67% 22% 1%
17 LEHMAN Matthew 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
18 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 45% 4% - -
19 DRAPER Jason 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
20 KTSANES Charlie 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
23 HU Andy 100% 81% 35% 5% - -
24 CHEN Jeremy 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
25 GUTHRIE Andrew 100% 79% 36% 7% - -
28 WU Maxwell 100% 94% 50% 12% 1% -
30 ROGERS Denahi 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
31 PHAM Anthony 100% 89% 48% 5%
32 DEGA Tristan 100% 78% 28% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.