ROC/RPC of the Rockies

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JOHNSON Chance 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
2 WEISS Mateo 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
3 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
3 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
5 KIM Jonah 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
6 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
7 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 5%
8 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
9 FLYNT Hayden 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
10 HUANG Nathan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
11 YANG Ethan 100% 99% 82% 40% 9% 1%
12 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3%
13 REYNOLDS Adam 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
14 ARCHIBALD Ian 100% 96% 63% 23% 4% -
15 KARPMAN Benny 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
16 WARD Spencer 100% 27% 3% - - -
17 STOY Patrick 100% 90% 42% 9% 1% -
18 AGUIRRE Mark 100% 34% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.