Spring Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Seacoast Fencing Club- Rochester - Rochester, NH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 SONG Changze 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
5 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
6 MORI Seneca 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% < 1%
7 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
8 PESSIN Nadav 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
9 O'BRIEN Eamon 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
10 YIN Chujun 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
11 WANG Xiangdong 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
12 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
13 GLUSHKOV David 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
14 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
15 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
16 DOLLARHITE Tommy 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
17 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
18 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
19 WENGER Caleb 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
20 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
21 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
22 BAZZANA Beniamino 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
23 CHOY Ida 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
24 VILLARS Philip 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
25 OSHIMA Robert 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
26 REELS Eric J. 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.