Arizona Summer Nationals Qualifier

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KARAMAGA Ganza 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 LAURSEN Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 COLE Perrin 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10% 1%
3 BALDWIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
5 LARSEN Max 100% 98% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
6 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
7 ORELUP Austin 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 6%
8 HERRON Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
9 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
10 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
11 DEAN Samuel 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
12 JAISWAL Mann 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 4%
13 WELLING Cohen 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
14 CUEVAS Tom 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6% -
15 HARTMAN Gunnar 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
16 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
17 NICHOLAS Malakai 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
18 MARKONA Kai 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
19 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
20 WELLING Michael 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.