Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Foil

Friday, May 2, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
3 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
3 CHEN Sophie 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
5 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
6 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
7 LIU Kiki 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
8 SAKALLA Serene 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
9 LEO Jenna 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
10 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
11 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 4%
12 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
13 LI Christina 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
14 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
15 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
16 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
17 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
18 CLARK Lillian 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
19 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
20 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
21 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.