BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, May 2, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Yixuan - - - - 1% 13% 86%
2 LONG Jessie - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 PARK Chloe - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
3 ZHAO ZEMEI - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
5 YUEN Nicole - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
6 YE Isabella - 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 5%
7 LONG Chloe 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
8 HSIEH Lucia - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
9 KIM Saeren - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
10 WONG Natalie - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
11 CHANG Kaitlyn - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
12 MERRITT Annabelle 2% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1%
13 WANG Jiayi - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
14 TONG Laurie - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
15 CHERON Helene 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
16 ZHU Avril - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
17 WONG Cerise - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
18 BRIMMER Bella 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 2% -
18 YU Skylar - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
20 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
21 WU Daisy 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
22 RIGBY Ellie 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
23 CHENG Anna 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
24 NGUYEN Summer - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
25 SUNG Isabella - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
26 KIM Satie - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
26 YU Stella - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 15%
28 CHANG Annette - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
29 DUFF Caitlin 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
30 WANG Tina - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
31 ZOFFEL Gabriela 2% 16% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
32 HUANG Valencia 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
33 ZHANG angelina 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
34 HWANG Charlotte - 3% 19% 40% 30% 7%
35 MORINAGA Mirai 1% 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
36 BORTAI Eliza 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
37 ZHAI AMY - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
38 CHEN Cindy - 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
39 DING Jolie 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1%
40 PEREIRA Izumi 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
41 VARAH Alaia - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
42 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
43 JOSHI Samika 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
44 KO Ariel 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
45 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
46 PATIL Jyothi 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
47 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% -
48 HU Ashley 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
49 KAVZAN Duru 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
50 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
51 LIU Isabel 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
52 OH Chloe 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
53 BAEK Aileen 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
54 LEE Alana 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
55 SEAL Ayda 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
56 TABANCAY Ava 26% 45% 24% 5% 1% -
57 KATZ Emma - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18% 1%
58 BIESIADA Sophia 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
59 KIM Grace M. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
60 YANG Renee 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
60 ZHONG Alexandra 81% 18% 2% - - - -
62 DAVIS Layla 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
63 MEADE Kaia G. 11% 34% 35% 17% 4% - -
64 TSE Lavine 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
65 WANG Makayla 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
66 VENNE Sophie 16% 44% 31% 8% 1% - -
67 MENDOZA SAB 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.