Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
2 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4%
3 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
3 YANG Hanting(Catherine) 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6%
5 GANSER Nicole 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
6 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
7 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
8 XU Serena 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
9 WU Michelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
10 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
11 LI Caroline 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
12 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
13 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
14 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
15 YOU Isabel B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
16 PETROFF Eva 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
17 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
18 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 66% 23% 4% < 1% - -
19 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
20 COLELLA Lauren 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
21 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
22 MONITTO Malina 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
23 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 93% 61% 20% 2% -
24 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 46% 7%
25 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
26 ZAYKO Aveline 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
27 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 97% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
28 NGUYEN Celena 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
29 ZUCKER Emily A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
30 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
31 FOMINA Polina 100% 89% 49% 12% 1% -
32 SHABBIR Aiza 100% 39% 6% - - - -
33 QUADRI Saira 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
34 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
35 IVANUSHKINA Alisa 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
36 LEE Claudia 100% 94% 59% 19% 3% - -
37 HAMMONDS Carissa 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
38 DUNNE Jessica 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
39 GOOCH Anna V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
40 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.